Getting ahead? You only think so © Image Source/Getty Images

Extra

Getting ahead? You only think so

We deny it, but even college-educated Americans -- at least those under 55 -- can't duplicate their parents' prosperity. Here's how we hide this reality from ourselves.

By Marilyn Lewis
MSN Money

That nagging worry that you're not really getting ahead? It's right on. You're not. Especially if you're under 55.

The economic shakeup traumatizing American workers isn't all due to the Great Recession, says demographer Cheryl Russell. She's the editorial director of New Strategist Publications, a former editor-in-chief of American Demographics magazine and the author of several books on demographic trends.

American incomes have been eroding for years, she says. The reasons are familiar: "Computers, and then the Internet, have profoundly changed every industry. It is leveling incomes in the United States, because companies can go anywhere for many types of workers."

Manufacturing jobs, once the source of decent wages for people without college degrees, are no longer the bedrock of the economy.

Russell drills deep into U.S. census data for a look at what's going on. The big picture, she says, makes it appear that we're just treading water economically: Between 1989 and 2009, all American households together gained just 3% in income, after adjusting for inflation. In essence, incomes have stood still for 20 years.

But the big picture is deceptive. It would look much worse except that the massive baby boom generation (born 1946 through 1964) is now in its peak earning years. The big boomer salaries inflate the average.

The reality, however, is in your own wallet. Many age groups are losing ground compared with their parents at the same age. The group of people in their peak earning years -- 45 to 54 -- lost more than 7% in household inflation-adjusted income between 1989 and 2009.

Income over the past 2 decades
 All householdsHead of household under 25Head of household 25-34Head of household 35-44Head of household 45-54Head of household 55-64Head of household 65+

2009

$49,777

$30,733

$50,199

$61,083

$64,235

$56,973

$31,354

1989

$48,279

$31,171

$49,810

$62,858

$69,352

$51,474

$26,341

% change

3.1%

-1.4%

0.8%

-2.8%

-7.4%

10.7%

19.0%

*Sources: Cheryl Russell; U.S. Census Bureau (adjusted for inflation)

Women are an additional wild card in these studies. "If you look at women's incomes you're going to say, 'Wow, big progress,'" Russell says.

But that's not because they're paid better for the same work. It's because they got more education and got into better jobs, with bigger salaries.

"They were no longer stuck in the secretary pool," Russell says.

Women's new affluence, along with boomers' earnings, skew the statistics. If not for these aberrations, the erosion in household income would look considerably worse, Russell says.

To dig into the changes, Russell studies boomers ages 45 to 54.

Their lives are easier to compare with counterparts 20 years ago. Because so much has changed -- women rising in the workplace, later marriages, delayed parenthood, job losses, adult children moving back in with parents -- it's hard to compare younger workers with those their age 20 years ago.

But when you compare men ages 45 to 54 working full time with those in 1989, you see:

  • Slippage. These are an American worker's highest-earning years, but for all men in this group, annual household income has slipped 11% (from $61,230 to $54,333, adjusted for inflation).

  • College helps, a little. Men of this age with bachelor's degrees are earning 7% less ($77,667 versus $83,453) than their dads did 20 years ago.

  • No college hurts. The worst income erosion happened among men with only high school diplomas: They've lost 31% in earnings over 20 years (from $53,395 to $37,107).

As bad as this looks, it doesn't completely take into account that some of our biggest costs have risen much faster than inflation:

  • Pensions. Few workers younger than 54 have the kind of employer-paid pensions that their parents are retired on. Today, you fund your own retirement plan, and, if you're lucky, your employer kicks in a little. Russell says research shows that private-sector workers who have traditional pensions fell from 62% in 1979 to 33% in 2009.

  • Health insurance. Not long ago, many workers enjoyed employer-covered insurance with low co-pays and deductibles. Today, many workers have none. Others have very skimpy coverage. Everyone pays more: Average household spending for health insurance grew from $370 in 1984 (that's $764 in 2009 dollars) to $1,785 in 2009.

Continued: One guy's life

More from MSN Money

 1 | 2 | next >

Rate this Article

Click on one of the stars below to rate this article from 1 (lowest) to 5 (highest). LowHigh
48Comments
12/01/2010 6:52 AM
avatar

We are definitely not living in a bigger house than my parents. At the same  relative income as my father, we were able to afford a less than one acre lot with a 900 sq ft house with a half hour work commute one way. My parents were able to afford a thirteen acre farmette and fund a one hour work commute one way. Both houses were fixer uppers.

 

From what I have seen, most Baby Boomer parents have unconsciously raised their progeny to fail. Our WWII grandparents are too far into their dotages to realize just how close to poverty they have allowed their grand children and great grand children to become while also unconsciously raising their children to fail.

 

Big profit always trumps humanity.

11/30/2010 8:42 AM
avatar
The world is likely unfolding as it should; it is only to be expected our standard of living will decline some as the rest of the world catches up. We're more likely to have our (grand)parents' standard of living if we emulate their habits: frugality and living within our means. They valued financial security over wealth. 
11/27/2010 10:41 AM
avatar

As a conservative here, I do break from the norm and believe people making over 500k per year should have that amount over 500k, taxed at 50 percent.

 

It would pass easily if lawmakers would agree to lower property taxes, and business taxes, so it would be a wash.

 

But thats not how government works, they spend our money like drunken sailors and would not return the additional money they would get.

 

Also saw this coming 15 years ago. Now that we are in a true global economy, the US had no where to go but down in terms of income. It will level out but probably not for another decade.

11/23/2010 3:03 PM
avatar

Impressive article. I especially like that we're given some numbers to back up the claim that american incomes are irroding. Didn't mention energy prices soaring...gas, electricity, etc. I spend about 260 dollars a month on gas for my cars. I could really relate to the women who saw that working as a waitress would be of more financial long term benefit than to go back to school for a masters degree. I have a bachelors degree and work in the restaurant industry making over 50k a year. I work long hours, but who the hell would pay me anything close to 60k, plus benefits and free food really adds up...really adds up. I'd need to make around 70k to keep up and knowone is handing those jobs out in any other sector except healthcare. I had other ambitions but they'd never come to fruition in the states. I look out into the american workforce and all I see is empty opportunities and long bread lines. I'm greatful to be employeed, just not fulfilled. America, get use to the feeling of lesser- we asked for it with two decades of greed.

11/22/2010 12:44 PM
avatar

MMCI1 - You caution others not to argue with you and then bloviate like a teenager (hey, are you really just a thirteen year old kid on Mom's PC?).  Sorry, but somebody needs to call you on your silly diatribe.  I especially loved your marcoeconomic treatise which stated "Women in work place depresses wages over the past work place where only men competed against each other for wages. If you double the supply of workers, wages decline."

 

It's not as if there's a fixed number of jobs in the U.S. and anyone who gets one depives someone else of their prosperity.  Adding more workers to the workforce adds to total our productivity; the real question is whether the added productivity is more or less than the added consumption of these new workers.  Since women were already consumers long before they enetered the workforce in large numbers, the answer is that their working is a net benefit.  I'd debunk the rest of your ridiculous blather but what's the point - Mom probably wants her PC back and it's time for you to go do your Social Studies homework (and you really need to do a lot of work in that area).  

11/22/2010 12:03 PM
avatar
ChrisM_VA says that the only Government services required by the rich are "a big military and some police so you can keep your loot".  Wrong.  Everybody needs proper roads and bridges (DOT).  Everybody needs to have their food and drugs checked for safety and effectiveness (FDA).  Everybody needs airplanes that are well-made, well-maintained and piloted by competent people (FAA).  Everybody needs to know that nuclear plants are operated safely (NRC).  The list of Federal agencies that protect the rich (and poor) goes on and on.   
11/19/2010 5:47 PM
avatar

Smaller houses are better. Easier to clean, cheaper to keep warm and cool, and it will encourage you to buy less loot. And you can have more people per square mile. The only thing wrong is you have to sell them for less if you are charging by the square foot.

 

Mom and Dad's place in retirement was like a space station, 28 by 20 feet for four people. Yep. Two 100 square foot bedrooms, one bath, and a large area combining the functions of kitchen, living room, dining room, and recreation room. The kind of place you could stand for a weekend.

 

 

 

 

 

11/18/2010 11:51 AM
avatar

What do you need if you are rich? Less government less taxes except for police and a big military because history shows the rich have been sacked by the powerful repeatedly. Wealth changes hands. You can afford your own retirement, health care, etc. and high quality private at that. We do have the best health care on Earth if you can pay.

 

What do you need if you're not? Services from the government. That is a no-brainer.

 

So what is floating around in the culture? Less government, less taxes, Tea Party. Guess who wins and who loses.

 

It is a de-evolution of human civilization. Civilization not only prepares for disasters and famines. It prepares for smaller scale disasters in what we call life. The Europeans have embraced this. We in our ignorance have put a price tag on everything even human health. We would put a price on life and oxygen if we could. Damn America.

 

At the heart of human civilization is people cooperating to face challenges. There is a deep threat to cooperation in America. It is cut my damn taxes so I can make more money.

11/18/2010 11:42 AM
avatar

I didn't mean to say make SS a pension. Just make it secure. That was the idea under FDR. Now we are making it meaningless by the pittance amount without actually killing it outright.

 

That Social Security check is so small it is under the stamp, dude.

 

The de-evolution of progress. Watch out for it. Many in politics don't care for any but their rich friends and backers. Screw everyone else. Rich people don't need Social Security or national health care or aid to college students. Beware the trend toward government of the people, by the people, for the rich people, and no services or poor services for the rest. Government used to care for people. I think that is fading.

 

If you are rich what do you need? Less taxes less government except for a big military and some police so you can keep your loot. History says the rich have always been sacked by the powerful.

 

If you're not rich you need a government and its services.

 

You tell me what the trend is toward government services, privatize this, smaller government, Tea Party, and who benefits and who loses.

11/18/2010 2:04 AM
avatar

Beyond the inflation-adjusted income numbers, the W.W. II generation had smaller houses, fewer cars per household and less "techno toys" for their time.

 

I also think you are missing an inflation-adjusted index for the cost of everyday things.  Clothing, furniture, electronics, etc. are now cheaper after production was shifted overseas.

<a href="http://www.insurancevan.org">Cheap Commercial Van Insurance</a>

11/17/2010 5:30 PM
avatar
Let's not create ANOTHER windfall for wealthy crooks again....
11/17/2010 5:28 PM
avatar
You know, the Republicans said "invest Social Security in the stock market." And then some yahoos ripped off the economy about two years ago. If that doesn't shout "don't!" what does?
11/17/2010 5:25 PM
avatar

How to plan for a life that sucks

 

1. Be the only income.

 

I am sorry but in my sociological opinion (Master's but I work in Federal Web design)... Look at the A-10 Warthog with its two engines spaced apart by design.  If one is hit by ground fire or a missile, the other can keep the aircraft in the sky. 

 

Do you want to fly a single engine F-16? Bail out and risk becoming prisoner of war?

 

You don't want to be POW in this economy.

 

I can give you a long laundry list of good reasons for two incomes

 

1. College costs keeps going up, and up. (And does college have to deliver anything except faith?)

2. Your wife may be alive long after you are dead, sock the extra money away for retirement. (We need to put the security back into retirement. None of this garbage about investing Social Security so crooks can swindle it. Make Social Security more like a pension backed by taxes.)

3. It ain't the government that has your back, stupid, it is your family. If anything happens to you or your spouse short term long term or permanently, the government will make a Good Will Gesture with unemployment. YOU or YOUR SPOUSE will save the day. (Or your parents if you are fresh out of college and aren't married yet.). Welcome to the United States.

 

If you really want to ruin your life, have plenty of kids. They cost about $222,000 each by current reckoning.

 

 

 

 

3.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11/17/2010 1:50 PM
avatar

Here is a major reason why things are the way they are today:

 

Every administration since Truman (democrats and republicans) has decreased the national debt as a percent of GDP except for Reagan, Bush 1 and Bush 2. Republicans have become the fiscally irresponsible group of "borrow and spend".

From 1979 - 2006, the average income of the richest 0.1% of Americans rose a staggering 364%, nearly 25 times more than the growth of the median household income. Between 2001 and 2007, the real income of the median working-age household decreased by 1.9%, a loss of $1,107, despite productivity increasing by 18.5% over that time. Republicans are the party of "redistribution of wealth" (from the middle class to the wealthy).

In 2006, the top 1% of households received 20% and the top 10% received 46% of the nation’s income (highest shares since 1928 & 1932 respectively). The top 10% of the population owns 74% of the nation's wealth, the bottom 40% owns less than 1%.

 

The top 10% paid an average of 17.7% of income in taxes, the middle class (including social security and medicare) 31.2%.

 

Republicans; Robin Hood reversed

11/16/2010 9:27 PM
avatar
Hey Fred, is that you?  When we were together in WYO your "math" was bad then too.   If you built equity since 1970 in each home you purchased and you "moved" it ahead with each newer home your payment now should only be "taxes" not 1600 a month.  I did that and have enjoyed several personally designed homes that made why more than inflation.  Care and caution ='s net gain.  signed; no college just used my head and back. 
11/13/2010 9:00 PM
avatar

Good to read posts by younger people who get it. bluecollarsarge - I was going to say smart man, going back to college for a second career while collecting a pension. Kudos for you on that and good luck in school. But don't go into financial planning! Cash in a bank earns about the same as cash under a mattress. And it only goes down in value over time w/ inflation. But real estate's a proven wealth generator: asset purchased for nickels on the dollar, potential for immediate positive cash flow, bigtime tax benefits, increasing equity over time, the list goes on. If you know what you're doing, which it sounds like she does. Dannera may not have a pension like you do; few of us do. But even if her rentals are only marginally profitable, they'll set her up nicely for her later years. Plus she's diversifying, putting her $ in more than one pot (real estate and equities). I only wish I'd done what she's doing when I was her age.

11/13/2010 5:25 PM
avatar

MMCI1

 

2. Environmentalists, taxes, law suits, unions, and Liberals have driven high paying blue collar jobs overseas.

 

If you want to live in cesspool, feel free to move to India, China or Africa. Or a war zone (after all if you have no laws or regulations, the only way to settle things is the "old way").

 

3. Home ownership is more difficult because of your tax bills.

Tax bills go up with the price of housing. Over the past 30 years, the price of housing has risen twice as fast as overall inflation. I find it interesting that the generation that benefited the most from that increase are the first ones to whine about it.

 

4. We have more highly paid public employees now. In the past they were not highly paid.

 

I have never encountered any stats where a government employee (as opposed to a "contractor" picked by the mayor, governor or Congressman) that was paid more than an equivalent private sector job. Never. As for the overall higher costs: you can thank the GOP for that since they favor over-priced private contractors (that BTW raises your taxes or deficits).

 

5. When companies these days pay out settlements for discrimination, it is your raise that "goes away". When one expense goes up, something else must come down. These things did not exist in the past.

Stop being a jerk and the problem goes away. Jerks SHOULD go out of business.

 

11/13/2010 5:12 PM
avatar

FGresham

 

Trinkets don't make up for the increase in the wealth divide (and the political corruption that it creates), the increased work load or the lack of control or security with which the current generation must contend.

 

Every country in the world (except the U.S.) understands that real wealth is the ability to control your own destiny. That no longer exists this country. It was stupid for this nation to trade its long-term future for what turned out to be short-term gains.

 

11/13/2010 11:46 AM
avatar

Mmmmm!  Perhaps Ms. Lewis can't see the forest for the trees!

 

Beyond the inflation-adjusted income numbers, the W.W. II generation had smaller houses, fewer cars per household and less "techno toys" for their time.

 

I also think you are missing an inflation-adjusted index for the cost of everyday things.  Clothing, furniture, electronics, etc. are now cheaper after production was shifted overseas.

 

If every one under 55 today feels that they're better off than their parents or grandparents, perhaps they really are.  We have more "stuff," no matter what our nominal income may be.

 

As you say, that is the whole point of "progress" - our children are better off than we were.

avatar

I started in Textiles in 1998.  As a buyer I became acquainted with numerous manufactuing facilities across the south east.  As the Chinese Tariff's fell away and the Yuan remained pegged, sku after sku moved from Domestic production first to Mexico, then China.  With every new program, the cost sheets and the retailers demanded more and more Asian produced goods.  We sourced product until there was nothing left to be produced domestically.  We shut down plant after plant.  Supplier's disappeared.  Finally, the retailers went around us to our suppliers.   Mill operators reduced to middlemen.   Now, the entire industry is gone.  Unlike GM, the government had no interest in saving this industry.   Empty buldings in shattered communities are scattered across the Southeast. 

You don't need a spreadsheet to figure this one out.

Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of ConductPlease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
Additional comments(optional)
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?
viewCounter