A Connecticut couple started with an investment account of several thousand dollars in the 1960s. They put it all in a single stock, PepsiCo (PEP, news, msgs), and then watched as $800 vanished in a market downturn. The experience was so traumatic that the couple dumped Pepsi, and they haven't bought a single share of stock in the 40 years since.
But here's the killer, says a member of the family: "That position, if they had held on to it, would be worth over $3 million today."
This is the sort of episode that gives fear a bad name.
Fear is what makes people bail out of good stocks when they could easily wait out a downturn. It's what makes them feel it's safer to stash their money in a bank account or under the mattress, even when they know it's being nibbled away by inflation.
Fight or flight?
It's also what made USA Today run a hapless headline, "Where's the bottom? No end in sight . . ." on Oct. 10, 2002, after the Dow Jones Industrial Average had closed at 7,286. As it happens, though, that was the bottom. Today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) is up more than 70% at 12,580. In other words, Oct. 10, 2002, was a perfect day to buy -- except for fear.
Yet fear is a good thing, in its place. Let's say you're hiking and spot a rattlesnake coiled up just ahead on the trail. The amygdala, the part of your brain that serves as fear central, instantly fires out a signal to make you freeze in your tracks. It happens before you're fully conscious of the threat, and that's what saves you from stepping on the snake. The amygdala is constantly scanning not just for "natural triggers," such as snakes, but also for things that have threatened us in our daily lives, including financial calamities.
Let's say you were a day trader surfing the reality-free momentum of the dot-com boom -- until the day you watched your entire portfolio come crashing down. The intense fear you felt causes you to remember that moment more vividly.
Noradrenaline, one of the fight-or-flight hormones, works on the amygdala as a long-term-memory enhancer, locking in every nasty detail about the thing that frightened you. Your amygdala remembers so it can instantly send out an unconscious alarm at any hint of the same threat. And that kind of learned fear can save your neck: The next time around, over-hyped Internet stocks may not look so thrilling.
But fear is also a tricky emotion. It can blind you to legitimate opportunities. If you over-generalize a threat, it can give you a lifelong phobia about all stocks, as happened to the Pepsi couple. The fear of financial loss literally causes pain.
