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Find Hot Stocks11/10/2009 6:35 PM ET

8 restaurants that are on a roll

They say investors should buy what they know. Why not buy what people are eating? These restaurants are cookin' as recession-weary Americans crave comfort food.

By Rick Newman, U.S. News & World Report

It might not be good for America's waistline, but froufrou dining off petite plates is out. The recession has made us hungry for family-size piles of comfort food, skyscraping burgers and all-you-can-eat fries.

Like other segments of the retail economy, the restaurant industry has struggled over the past two years as unemployment has soared and consumers have curtailed spending. The National Restaurant Association's performance index shows the industry has been shrinking for 23 months in a row. High-end bistros have fared the worst, with sales at fancy restaurants such as Ruth's Chris and Morton's steakhouses off by 20% or more as corporate customers pare expenses and other diners trade down.

Casual- and family-dining places have suffered, too, as people eat out less, order more takeout or cook at home. Even fast-food chains such as McDonald's (MCD, news, msgs) and Burger King (BKC, news, msgs) have lost business despite dollar meals and other deals meant to keep the fryers sizzling.

Still, as in other whipsawed industries, a few survivors stand to benefit from the widespread pain. To figure out who they are, I analyzed data provided by financial research firm Capital IQ, a unit of Standard & Poor's, to see which publicly owned restaurant companies with at least $250 million in annual sales have gained revenue and market share since the recession began near the end of 2007. Then I researched earnings reports and other sources to separate companies with strong inherent growth from those that have simply benefited from mergers, accounting anomalies or one-time events.

Of 41 names on Capital IQ's initial list, only eight made the final cut. All emphasize value, whether it's huge portions or quality for less.

And all of these companies are financially healthy, with reasonable debt and the wherewithal to keep expanding despite a credit crunch.

1. Buffalo Wild Wings

Hot wings, zesty drinks, low prices and a funky sports-themed atmosphere seem to draw crowds to Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD, news, msgs) no matter how the economy is doing.

This Minneapolis chain with outlets in 41 states has grown rapidly over the past two years, thanks to its plan to open about 60 restaurants a year. Same-store sales have risen slightly, with expansion juicing overall revenue by about 31% so far this year. Profit is up by 34%, and the company says the grand openings will continue.

2. BJ's Restaurants

Managers might be tempted to belly up and drown their sorrows, since the majority of the 89 BJ's Restaurants (BJRI, news, msgs) are in deep-recession states such as California, Arizona and Florida.

Video: 'Fast' casual dining takes on fast food

But the company's homemade ales, Chicago-style pizza and deep-dish cookies seem to offer some comfort from the gloom, and nine restaurant openings in 2009 have helped drive net income up 41% so far this year. The company hopes to open nearly a dozen locations next year and ramp up expansion even more once the economy improves.

3. Chipotle Mexican Grill

The fast food at these casual eateries feels slow, thanks to organic ingredients, custom combos and an emphasis on freshness. Traffic is down at many locations, but Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG, news, msgs) has been able to compensate by raising prices, a recession rarity that signals how popular Chipotle's burritos and spicy salads are.
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The company has also been able to continue a breakneck expansion plan, with openings for 2009 and 2010 likely to total about 250. Price increases and expansion have boosted profit by 55% so far this year.

Continued: More food for less money

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1 - 10 of 203
Thursday, November 12, 2009 3:45:36 PM

Ok, Have you guys even rated "5 Guys restaurants"  its a chain restaurant, with the fresh approach to their food...ex  burgers made fresh daily, not from frozen meat.....french fries..made daily from real potatoes and not frozen icecles....imagine that...check em out   the staff and the food rocks

 

Thursday, November 12, 2009 4:38:23 PM

Chipotle Mexican Grill is ok but the food is very bland and all tastes the same. They would do much better if they offered their burrito's enchilada style-smothered with sauce and cheese. Also, they need to price the food for what it is worth, not what they think it is worth.

 They could take some lessons from a chain called Cafe Rio, which has superior food and gives you the option for smothered burrito's.

 Until they have this option, we will stay away from Chipotle - there are just too many better choices out there!

Thursday, November 12, 2009 5:00:22 PM
Truth is I'm surprised to see that Oceanaire is not on this list. They have spectacular seafood and the portions are amazing! It does seem that many of the aboved restaurants mentioned are more like fast food joints than a fine dining experience, but some us actually want to have a memorable meal for our money. Keep those king crab legs coming :)
Thursday, November 12, 2009 5:23:08 PM
Qdoba in the midwest beats the heck out of Chipotles. Bigger, tastier and less expensive food in areas that arent known for this genre. Chipotle appeals to "green" yuppies who really care that the pork is "organic". Qdoba has the exact, same concept, right down to the equipment, and a larger selection. Try ordering a fish taco in Sioux Falls South Dakota!
Friday, November 13, 2009 10:09:05 AM
Oceanaire is closing locations...
Friday, November 13, 2009 12:11:19 PM
How could Chipotle not make money ? they charge you at least six bucks for rice, a spoonfull of meat and a flower tortia . I call it Cheripoff !
Thursday, November 19, 2009 10:25:29 AM
I cant believe BJ's is in this list, I went to one of those in San Diego(Chula Vista) and I admit the place is great.....but the food....OMG!!!!  Worst pizza I ever tasted. Even $5 little Caesars pizza is better....waiter was that....big wait to receive our food and they served pizza first and the salads at the end....server never came back to see if all was fine or for refills....that day was my wife Bday and they told us she will get a free cake or cookie, that never came.....that was horrible service and worst food.
Thursday, November 19, 2009 10:32:40 AM
How does an argentinian T-bone with real potatoe fries for 10 bux sound? Drinks entrees and desert apart. No coffee.
Thursday, November 19, 2009 11:13:39 AM
I'm very surprised Subway isn't listed. despite the economy it is adding 600 more stores by years end and has eclipsed McDonald's as the largest Restaurant chain on the international scale.
Thursday, November 19, 2009 1:48:51 PM
I dont know where you are , but here in south Florida, That is cheap (Steak and fries) and very affordable food ,even w/o the drink or salad.
1 - 10 of 203
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