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Extra7/13/2009 4:56 PM ET

Why GM is on the road to recovery

The automaker emerges from bankruptcy with fewer brands, dealerships and debts. Its ultimate success, though, depends on persuading customers to buy its vehicles.

[Related content: GM, manufacturing, economy, cars, car models]
By Rick Newman, U.S. News & World Report

It may take awhile to convince car buyers, but General Motors (GMGMQ, news, msgs) has emerged from bankruptcy with better prospects for a profitable future than virtually any of the automaker's critics predicted a few months ago. Here's why:

It exited bankruptcy in record time. Chrysler surprised nearly everybody by emerging from bankruptcy in 40 days. GM, a far bigger and more complex company, beat that by a couple of days. That gives the "new GM" a fighting chance to escape the cloud of failure that has hung over the company for much of the last year.

"It helps them get the idea that 'GM equals bankruptcy' out of consumers' minds," says Michael Robinet of forecasting firm CSM Worldwide.

Its biggest problems are in the past. GM has left behind billions in debt, axed hundreds of low-volume dealerships and gotten rid of its four underperforming brands: Hummer, Pontiac, Saab and Saturn.

It can now spread marketing dollars and other resources among fewer, better cars.

The new GM is built for speed. CEO Fritz Henderson has described how GM is stripping out several "strategy boards" and other layers of management that have been in place for decades, and cutting 450 managers from its white-collar work force. If done right, that could allow GM to bring cars to market faster and respond more effectively to shifting consumer tastes.

GM has also reduced its labor costs to the point that they're practically equal to the most efficient automakers, removing another obstacle to profitability.

GM already has appealing cars. Its overall lineup is still spotty, but popular vehicles like the Chevrolet Malibu, GMC Acadia, Cadillac CTS and new Chevy Camaro represent plenty of good product that's available today.

Sales of such vehicles could take off if GM can exploit its quick exit from bankruptcy to convince buyers the company is back on its feet, and will be around for the long haul.

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Woman driving a car © Digital Vision Ltd./Superstock
A new day in Detroit
General Motors emerges from bankruptcy protection vowing a transformation into a leaner and more customer-focused company.
Chrysler, by contrast, still has huge holes in its product lineup, and they might not be filled for two or three years.

GM has to work hard to win back consumers. Henderson admitted as much when he said that GM will try to distinguish itself by reaching out to buyers in new ways, such as listing vehicles for sale on eBay (EBAY, news, msgs). Even if GM only half-delivers, some customer pampering could pay off, as long as GM's vehicles are up to scratch as well.

"Consumers have demonstrated they will endure a so-so customer experience to obtain a great vehicle," says Jack Nerad of car research site Kelley Blue Book. "Consumers haven't demonstrated they will accept a so-so vehicle because of a great customer experience."

The feds want out of GM. Despite all the rah-rah, many Americans hate the idea of buying a car from a company run by the government. The real measure of success for GM will be a public offering that buys out the U.S. government's 61% stake in the company, and the repayment of billions of dollars in taxpayer loans. Ahead of schedule.

Henderson hinted that a public offering could come as early as next year, with hopes to pay back the loans ahead of the 2015 deadline. The feds want that too.

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Quotes supplied by Interactive Data.
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Monday, July 13, 2009 4:04:34 PM
Its biggest problems are in the past. GM has left behind billions in debt, axed hundreds of low-volume dealerships and gotten rid of its four underperforming brands: Hummer, Pontiac, Saab and Saturn.
Which eliminated thousands of jobs through dealership closings and forced many vendors into bankruptcy. Don't expect my help to save your company. I would rather have liquidated all your assets during the bankruptcy process to get our money back.

Monday, July 13, 2009 4:05:13 PM
GM will be gone in about 8 months. Good ridance. I would never purchase an american made auto. JUNK JUNK JUNK!
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:17:48 PM
 Radar your kidding right? GM didn't hand people a large bill of goods wiht out the people wanting them.  If we would have quit purchasing large vehicles then GM would have quit making them. Do you think the japanese planned on small cars? They were planning on and have been making large cars for the U.S lately. The only reason they have such a small car line up is because other countries use small cars it's wasn't being smart it was just dumb luck that gas went sky high. And I don't need a huge vehicle but I can't pull my boat with a small foreign piece of crap either.
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:20:38 PM
THE NEW CAMERO STARTS AT 24K, TRY TO FIND ONE IN ANY CHEVY DEALERSHIP, ALL ARE LOADED UP,NO STRIPPIES AVAILABLE, AND ALL WANT OVER MFG. SUGG. RETAIL, AND THEY WONDER WHY????? G.M , YOU'LL WAKE UP SOMEDAY, MAYBE. PEOPLE WANT TO BUY WHAT THEY WANT, NOT YOUR OVERLOADED CARS WITH INFLATED HIGH PRICES. IT'S SICK G.M., IT'S SICK.
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:21:44 PM
If the CTS, Malibu, Arcadia and Camaro is the cream of GM's crop then GM is in big trouble.
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:25:51 PM
I would never consider buying a Government Motors car.  I may have at one time, but the sleazy back door way that they eliminated their responsibility by filing bankrupsy nauseates me.  They had obligations to employees, to vendors, and to people that were litigating for bad products, all wiped out by the stroke of a pen.  
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:33:19 PM
Well done GM and Obama. Now that they nocked the UAW and CAW down to size (there nothing more than leagalized Maphia) GM hopefully will have a bright future
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:37:13 PM

GM can try to drum up support all they want, but it isn't going to work with some of us. I'm of the mindset that I will NEVER buy a car from Government Motors. We're supposed to be a capitalist society, and yet our gov just spent taxpayer money to bail-out an archaic behemoth that should have just quietly died.

Nope, Ford from here out, GovMotors and ChronicChrysler can rot for all I care.

And, I know there are many other people that are of the same opinion as me...

Monday, July 13, 2009 4:47:04 PM
Yep, they are recovering all right... I could recover too if I got billions of $'s from the taxpayer... they are blood sucking leeches..I will never buy another one of their vehicles...
Monday, July 13, 2009 4:48:48 PM

I have been a GM man for many years but no more.  I will not buy a car from Government Motors under any conditions.  Shopping for a new car right now and GM is not on the list of options.

 

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