Dow+30.69up+0.29%
10,464.40
Nasdaq+6.87up+0.32%
2,176.05
S&P+4.98up+0.45%
1,110.63

MSN Money video

Video on MSN Money
This video player requires the installation of the free Adobe Flash Player
More video on MSN Money
Exchange floor © Zurbar/agefotostock  // Exchange floor © Zurbar/agefotostock

Extra9/21/2009 12:01 AM ET

The real post-meltdown winners

Since triggering an epic financial meltdown, Wall Street's biggest franchises have seen startling increases in their market values. What are investors thinking?     

By BusinessWeek

In the year since the collapse of Lehman Brothers (LEHMQ, news, msgs), many companies have seen their market values decimated.

A surprising number, however, have added billions of dollars to their worth. And, perhaps even more shocking, some of these companies were key players in the Wall Street meltdown of 12 months ago.

According to data from Standard & Poor's and Bloomberg, the U.S. company that increased its market capitalization the most over the past year is Goldman Sachs Group (GS, news, msgs). The New York company's market value increased by $37.3 billion between Sept. 14, 2008 -- the day before Lehman filed for bankruptcy -- and Sept. 15, 2009.

Second among U.S. firms is JPMorgan Chase (JPM, news, msgs); its market cap increased by $33.8 billion in that period.

As an indicator of the technology sector's outperformance in 2009, the market value of No. 3 Apple (AAPL, news, msgs) increased by $30.9 billion. But financial giants round out the top five, with Wells Fargo (WFC, news, msgs) seeing its market value increase by $27.4 billion over the 12 months and Bank of America (BAC, news, msgs) boosting its market cap by $25.9 billion.

One name on the list appearing near the bottom of this page increased its market cap thanks to a blockbuster deal. Investors bid up shares of Schering-Plough (SGP, news, msgs) after the drug maker agreed in March to be acquired for $41 billion in cash and stock by rival Merck (MRK, news, msgs).

"It's amazing how little has changed in the financial markets," says Jeffrey Hirsch, the editor-in-chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac. "As an observer of Wall Street, things seem to be back to normal."

There's no doubt the financial sector, and many financial companies, took a big hit from the financial crisis. In September 2007, the financial sector accounted for about 20% of the market value of all companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX). By September 2008, that had fallen to 15%, and in the depths of the market crisis, in early March 2009, the financial sector's share fell to 8.6%.

Six wild months later, however, and the financial sector is again about 15% of the U.S. equity market, as measured by the S&P 500. And Wall Street's biggest players have fared even better: At least by the measure of market value, the Street's titans appear stronger than a year ago.

Shareholders get diluted

This rebound is not necessarily good news for shareholders. To replenish their balance sheets, the big banks issued hundreds of millions of new shares, and accepted hundreds of billions of dollars from the U.S. Treasury. These capital infusions significantly diluted shareholders' stakes.

In the case of Bank of America, the banking behemoth's market cap rose 21% in the past year, but the value of its shares declined 48%. Goldman Sachs, however, managed to increase its market value almost 70% while also raising its share price 8.2%.

A company's market capitalization is its total value according to the collective judgment of the stock market. What made investors believe that the value of these Wall Street franchises had actually increased -- despite the worst financial crisis in a lifetime?

First, these big institutions got the "seal of approval" from the federal government, which implicitly guaranteed it would keep the companies in business, says Michael O'Rourke, the chief market strategist at institutional brokerage BTIG.

Video: Should bankers' bonuses be capped?

Also, the big players have gotten bigger. JPMorgan gobbled up Washington Mutual and Bear Stearns. Wells Fargo took over Wachovia. Bank of America acquired Merrill Lynch. Meanwhile, many smaller rivals, such as mortgage originators, have closed or been weakened.

"So much of their competition has been eliminated," O'Rourke says. These banks have short-term problems, he says, but "in the long term they're going to be entrenched enterprises."

This is often what happens during times of economic stress, says John Merrill, chief investment officer at Tanglewood Wealth Management. "The strong get stronger, and the weak get blown away."

Two years after the financial crisis began, the financial sector is still waiting for new regulations pledged by politicians. Those new rules could still change the competitive landscape on Wall Street and hurt the big players. But Hirsch worries that the momentum for sweeping reform is losing steam.

Become a fan of MSN Money on Facebook

"I think we missed our opportunity to level the playing field," he says. "I'm not sure we've put things in place to prevent that kind of crisis in the future."

Until then, Wall Street giants will find ways to capitalize on their size and competitive advantages. And even with new regulations, they will no doubt return to what they do best: finding ways to make pots of money. Crisis or no, some things may never change.

Biggest 1-year gains in market cap
CompanyMarket cap on 9/14/2009Market cap on 9/15/2008Dollar changePercent changeShare-price change
Goldman Sachs (GS, news, msgs)$90.76 billion$53.46 billion$37.30 billion69.8%8.2%
JPMorgan Chase (JPM, news, msgs)$171.68 billion$137.88 billion$33.78 billion24.5%9.1%
Apple (AAPL, news, msgs)$155.61 billion$124.68 billion$30.92 billion24.8%9.3%
Wells Fargo (WFC, news, msgs)$130.33 billion$102.96 billion$27.37 billion26.6%-8.4%
Bank of America (BAC, news, msgs)$146.99 billion$121.12 billion$25.86 billion21.4%-48.0%
Schering-Plough (SGP, news, msgs)$46.86 billion$29.39 billion$17.46 billion59.4%48.4%
Oracle (ORCL, news, msgs)$113.71 billion$97.98 billion$15.74 billion16.1%12.9%
Google (GOOG, news, msgs)$150.34 billion$136.49 billion$13.85 billion10.1%7.5%
Ford Motor (F, news, msgs)$23.80 billion$11.32 billion$12.48 billion110.2%63.3%

This article was reported by Ben Steverman for BusinessWeek.

Rate this Article

Click on one of the stars below to rate this article from 1 (lowest) to 5 (highest). LowRate it 1Rate it 2Rate it 3Rate it 4Rate it 5High
Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. © 2009. All rights reserved.
StockScouter data provided by Gradient Analytics, Inc.
Quotes supplied by Interactive Data.
MSN Money's editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. Our articles, columns, message board posts and other features should not be construed as investment advice, nor does their appearance imply an endorsement by Microsoft of any specific security or trading strategy. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.
Join the discussion!
Sort by:
1 - 6 of 6
Monday, September 21, 2009 4:36:15 AM
Let's hope we don't see what happened in the 1930's where a brief recovery was followed by several more years of devastation.  Right now we need to actively be cleaning our houses and reducing risk, none of which the American investor wants to embrace.

The whole point of bailing these people out is to give them to the time to straighten out the mare's nest.  Since it doesn't seem to be happening, watch out.

Monday, September 21, 2009 5:25:51 AM

There are two things I’ve been saying consistently since January 1, 2009 which align with the observations in this article.

 

The first paraphrases an old adage:

 

“Money and wealth derive from power, not the other way around”

 

The second is one I made up myself:

 

Whenever the recovery comes, it will come for Wall Street before the rest of us.

 

Monday, September 21, 2009 6:06:17 AM
Great, the too bit to fail just got bigger.  There is no incentive for them to change what they did to cause this debacle.
Monday, September 21, 2009 6:12:56 AM

Natural selection, we’re told, is the process by which nature promotes our best qualities. But a look around strains that notion. If nature selects health, beauty, and intelligence, why are most of us far from flawless?

Monday, September 21, 2009 12:28:35 PM
Support your local credit union and keep your money local! Don't invest in Wallstreet or the big banks-it's the only way to let them know the magnitude of our disgust!! It looks to me like they don't posses any more talent than the uneducated guessing-it's a good old boy network! In the future, we need to respond to unethical & immoral businesses by pulling our money in a hurry and running them out! It's the only way to keep folks honest!
Monday, September 21, 2009 3:49:26 PM

i'm afraid of what this mess is going to do for  any chance of a job when it all comes crashing down!

how many people will die because people finally got fed up with being screwed  by the upper 1% (the cry babies with all the money) and a revolt breaks out, can someone answer that question for me!

1 - 6 of 6
To add a comment, pleasesign in