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Extra2/15/2007 3:28 PM ET

Chrysler cuts deep, but is smaller better?

Detroit's Big Three car makers think slimming down is the surest path to profitability. As they shrink, though, there's less room for mistakes.

By Christian Science Monitor

It's official. Now all of America's homegrown auto makers are moving to cut jobs and close factories in a bid to restore financial health.

DaimlerChrysler's (DCX, news, msgs) Chrysler Group, which not long ago looked like the success story among Detroit's Big Three, plans to shed thousands of workers and close a handful of plants.

Such moves, similar to cutbacks under way at General Motors (GM, news, msgs) and Ford Motor (F, news, msgs), could provide some short-term financial relief.

But the moves only underscore the longer run challenge: It's hard for companies to cut their way to success in an industry that is both capital-intensive and fiercely competitive.

With Toyota Motor (TM, news, msgs) and other rivals rolling out new models, Detroit has to find a way to keep designing cars as fast as ever, as well as adapt to a marketplace shift toward fuel-efficient cars.

In that effort, the Big Three are increasingly hindered by a cost structure that is higher than their competition's.

"You can always lift your profits by cutting back for a short period. . . . But you keep getting into trouble again," says Peter Morici, an economist at the University of Maryland who tracks the automotive industry. "Their labor costs are just too high."

This doesn't mean that Chrysler, Ford and GM can survive only by maintaining their current production volume. Many analysts believe the Big Three must become a smaller three on the road toward profitability.

But to survive, they need to do two things, experts say. First, they must cut the cost of making each car or truck, so that it can be sold at a decent profit. Second, they must plow those profits into successful new design efforts, meeting consumer demands for style, comfort, fuel-efficiency and reliability.

However, the smaller they get, the less cushion there will be to make mistakes.

Off to a rocky start

It doesn't help that concern about higher gasoline prices has shifted consumer tastes away from large sport-utility vehicles, a Detroit mainstay. And growing concern about global warming raises uncertainties about how government policies, such as carbon-emission goals, could affect auto makers in the future.

Among Detroit's Big Three, analysts say Ford and Chrysler have deeper troubles with their product lines than does GM.

"Some of Chrysler's new offerings have gotten off to a rocky start," says Michelle Krebs, the editor of Edmunds' AutoObserver.com, in an e-mail interview. The company needs to "shift faster away from truck-type vehicles to carlike vehicles -– and ones consumers really want to buy."

The German-based management of DaimlerChrysler appears to be scrambling to fix the troubles at the division it acquired through a merger nearly nine years ago. Chrysler's parent company says it is considering "far-reaching strategic options with partners" and that "no option is being excluded," which analysts interpreted as opening the door to a possible sale.

Interested buyers may include private-equity firms, the large funds of big-investor cash that fueled a global wave of buyouts over the past year.

The possibility helped send DaimlerChrysler's stock higher. Regardless of a sale, analysts say the challenges ahead are significant.

"It is an absolute necessity to cut costs," says Krebs. But if Chrysler remains within the Daimler family of car makers, "management has to be extremely artful in how this works. It cannot allow the Mercedes brand to be devalued and can't hinder Chrysler's styling creativity."

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Chrysler Group says it will cut thousands of jobs as part of a restructuring effort designed to restore profitability at the auto maker by 2008, CNBC's Phil LeBeau reports.

Worse position than Ford?

The Big Three will hope to win concessions on labor costs from the United Auto Workers in contract talks that will ramp up later this year.

Some analysts say Chrysler is now in an even worse position than Ford, which recently had to borrow billions of dollars to fund its overhaul under a new CEO.

"The Jeeps are terrible gas guzzlers," economist Morici says. "On the product side, it's worse off than Ford."

This article was reported and written by Mark Trumbull for The Christian Science Monitor. Material from wire services is included in the report.

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