Stocks to Watch
MSN Money Insight
| Currency | US Dollar |
|---|---|
| British Pound to US Dollar | 1.567644 |
| Euro to US Dollar | 1.376084 |
| Japanese Yen to US Dollar | 0.011153 |
| Canadian Dollar to US Dollar | 0.935979 |
Earnings offset weak confidence report
JC Penney boosts its outlook. Disney tops expectations. The euro zone sees economic expansion.
Updated at 1:20 p.m. ET
Consumers' worries about the economy weren't enough to stop stocks from rallying this afternoon.
Better-than-expected results from JC Penney (JCP), Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) and Walt Disney (DIS) offset an unexpected decline in the Reuters/University of Michigan index on consumer sentiment.
The index fell to 66.0 from 70.6 in October; economists were looking for it to rise to 71.8. The index has fallen two months in a row after hitting 73.5 in September.
At 1:20 p.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) had added 98 points to 10,296. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was up 21 points to 2,170, and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) had gained 9 points to 1,097.
JC Penney, Abercrombie top expectations
JC Penney this morning said profit plunged 78% to $27 million, or 11 cents a share, in the third quarter, from $124 million, or 56 cents, last year. Excluding costs, JC Penney earned 30 cents per share, well above the consensus estimate of 12 cents.
Sales declined 3.2% to $4.18 billion.
JC Penney boosted its full-year outlook to between 93 cents and $1.08 per share, up from previous guidance of up to 90 cents a share. The department store forecast fourth-quarter profit of 70 cents to 85 cents a share. Analysts are looking for 82 cents in the fourth quarter and $1.05 for the year.
Shares of JC Penney were up $2.28, or 7.8%, to $31.67.
And teen retailer Abercrombie & Fitch posted adjusted third-quarter earnings of 30 cents per share, 10 cents better than analysts' expectations. Chief executive Michael Jeffries said the company is expanding overseas to places like Milan and Tokyo to help offset weakness in the U.S.
Shares were up $3.26, or 8.9%, to $40.02.
In related news, another teen retailer debuted today as rue21 (RUE) priced its offering of about 6.77 million shares at $19 each, above the expected range of $16 to $18. Shares were up
$5.03, or 26.5%, to $24.05 today.
Disney beats the Street
Walt Disney late Thursday said fiscal-fourth-quarter profit rose 18% to $895 million, or 47 cents a share, from $760 million, or 40 cents a share, a year ago.
Excluding items, Disney earned 46 cents per share, topping expectations by a nickel. Shares were up $1.21, or 4.2%, to $30.26.
Revenue rose 4% to $9.87 billion from $9.44 billion, well above Wall Street's estimate of $9.31 billion.
Trade gap widens; euro zone economy expands
The U.S. trade deficit widened by 18.2% in September to $36.5 billion, the highest level since January, the Commerce Department reported this morning. The reading came in above economists' expectations of $32.8 billion.
It was the biggest percentage increase in the monthly trade gap since February 1999.
Crude oil was down 31 cents to $76.63 a barrel after the government said import prices rose 0.7% in October. Gold was trading at $1,116 an ounce after reaching a record $1,123.38 on Thursday.
The euro zone's gross domestic product grew 0.4% in the three months to Sept. 30, the first expansion since the first quarter of 2008.
Lots of luck in educating the American public much beyond a high school diploma. Good luck at cranking out a bunch of high-tech wizards who will crank out high tech marvels.
Technical wizards (technically proficient folks) are scarce in any society. Always have been and always will be. With the level of education going down the tubes in the USA; the probability is very low that there will be any kind of American come-back in the high=tech arena. Lets not forget the competition in the future from the growing middle class in the BRIC countries...
Without a strong manufacturing base, you will NOT have a strong middle class! Therefore you will probably not get much in the way of educated or college bound people.
2 Sick to Type --- I'll bet you were also always too sick to go to school or work. You haven't got a clue. If you expect results from less than a full year of a new President's attempts to solve the Bush crisis, you're also too sick to understand. The economy doesn't react that fast --- things have to settle and filter through the infrastructure. Gov't spending in times of recession is a proven method around the world. Yes, debt does get incurred --- that's kind of a no brainer, isn't it? The U.S. was already in debt by the trillions. However, if spending can over time stimulate an anemic economy, create jobs, keep businesses in business and basically live to fight another day, then it will prove worthwhile. Of course the debt will have to be repaid amortized over generations. But the country will survive and you standard of living will basically survive. The alternative being no gov't spending, which was the approach in the early years of the Great Depression, would have been far worse --- and debt still would have had to have been incurred. Just after the pain.
Go have another beer.
By the way; the "Green Jobs" that were promised last year in my metro area which would employ "thousands" in two different types of alternative energy fields never materialized.
At the risk of making a bad pun; it was all just a bag of wind...
I can't resist this: The sunset on the other project...
Without manufacturing the USA is like a poker game with no new money coming to the table.
I remember the 1950s and 1960s, I was alive then and had hope for the future...
Lambo
you are funny... if there is anything that the general public knows about the academic world, is that it is unattached from the real world... Stand back and theorize, and study your history, but if you want to know what is really going on, you will have to come out of your protected little world and experience it for yourself...
Sorry wake but if you understand economics like I do, Oh by the way I teach economics at a local college, you will find that globally, manufacturing labor is declining as a percentage of total jobs. I also work in the semiconductor manufacturing industry. We produce 10X in the number of semiconductors then we did 10 years ago with half the manufacturing plants all due to technologies and improved manufacturing tools and we are relentless in reducing more and more expenses i.e. headcount while producing more and more product. What this means is that productivity and efficiency in production is faster in producing units out the door than the ability of consumers consumption of this material. Its the reality of the world.
I guess Clinton with all the brightest economic minds in the country just don't know anything about economics as opposed to this bulletin board post Hmmmm...
Things to consider when thinking about the 3.5% growth in GDP:
1) Cash for clunkers. The government subsidized the purchase of cars in order to get people to spend money that many would not have otherwise spent. Some of those people will have those cars repossessed. Where would GDP be without cash for clunkers? This is not an on-going program so the car industry needs to show an ability to recover without the help of Uncle Sam.
2) $8,000 home tax credit. This is getting people into homes they can not afford. When someone buys a home they spend thousands of dollars on new furniture, appliances, etc.. Where would GDP be without all of this additional spending? What will happen to home prices and spending when this credit eventually ends?
3) millions of people are getting unemployment benefits for up to 99 weeks. That allows them to spend money. What would happen to spending and GDP if they were not getting their weekly allowance from the government? Will the 99 weeks get pushed to 119 weeks? Will we eventually need to let the benefits run out? Will we ever pay for this?
4) The $787 billion dollar stimulus went into effect this year. Where would GDP be without that? That should have given 9% growth so 3.5% is pathetic. Is the economy well enough to sustain when all the government money dries up?
5) The Fed purchased over 1 trillion dollars worth of Mortgage backed securities in order to keep interest rates and mortgage rates down? That amount of cash infusion and only a 3.5% growth! Eventually rates will need to come up. What would happen to home prices and spending if mortgage rates went up to the 6's and 7's? Will people still buy the same amount of house when it costs that much more to borrow? How many more foreclosures could that cause?
6) After that is all said and done we then need to deal with taxes going up to pay for all of the deficit spending. Will people spend more or less when they have less in their paychecks?
Obama should have stimulated manufacturing to create jobs. I was excited about green technology and the chance of America becoming the leader in green technology manufacturing so that we would have something to export. Cars that are completely gas-free and affordable so that America could get back into the game of being the leader in car manufacturing and get us off our dirty oil habit. Instead Obama poured the money more towards saving jobs then getting manufacturing going. He dropped the ball big time. Without manufacturing everything else is a ponzi scheme built on deception. Do we continue to subsidize the economy indefinitely or do we let it sink to where it should go and allow for a natural growth to start? Either way it will be painful.
Lambo8525, you sound like a stuck record from the mid-90's left over from the Clinton error (mis-spelled on purpose)
Clinton used the "We're a Service Nation" to justify the UN-Free Trade Agreements that have and continue to cost this country.
And by the way, when is the last time you had "service" here in the US. Evertime you call a service center half have been outsourced to India or somewhere else. SO goes for your human factor element.
I guess there are more humans elsewhere to pick-up the labor costs as well.
Did you have any formal education on economies and Facts??
The US does have to develop more High-tech mfg here and keep the security of patent and trademarks protected. How is easy, but no one wants to address this either.
No, the main reason for these issues is "profitability" and "fiduciary" responsibilty. Buzz words used at Wall Street and big business to continue to profit too much. DId you ever see Wall Street?
Watch it and learn. It's pretty close to the truth. Or at least more so than you'll ever hear or see on the Networks anymore.
WAKE-UP to REALITY!
Lambo8525, you sound like a stuck record from the mid-90's left over from the Clinton error (mis-spelled on purpose)
Clinton used the "We're a Service Nation" to justify the UN-Free Trade Agreements that have and continue to cost this country.
And by the way, when is the last time you had "service" here in the US. Evertime you call a service center half have been outsourced to India or somewhere else. SO goes for your human factor element.
I guess there are more humans elsewhere to pick-up the labor costs as well.
Did you have any formal education on economies and Facts??
The US does have to develop more High-tech mfg here and keep the security of patent and trademarks protected. How is easy, but no one wants to address this either.
No, the main reason for these issues is "profitability" and "fiduciary" responsibilty. Buzz words used at Wall Street and big business to continue to profit too much. DId you ever see Wall Street?
Watch it and learn. It's pretty close to the truth. Or at least more so than you'll ever hear or see on the Networks anymore.
WAKE-UP to REALITY!
well, continue to bask in your glory, like Joe Scarborough " we have the best University", but not the brightest students, " we have Intel, Boeing, etc" but not the engineers, and the capital to buy this firms still lies in China, pay more attention to turn more MBA and less scientist, at the end you are going t end up in the trash bin, It is always has being "who with the manufacturing power is the one with the real power" this country was led to believe that the more we got in debt by buying stuff from other countries, the better for this country.
Truth is all this madness,was every American fault, look at the mirror, the Banker giving the easy loan, the consumer buying the big Hummer, etc etc, it is now time to pay the piper it is all folks, Best higher education, what good it is, if most of American kids are thinking of buying the latest AE game or PSP or Ipod instead of getting the Math and tech knowledge to propel this country in the future, the captain of industries always thought that the talent of international student was going to stay in America forever, as the BRIC economies develop, we see more and more that this talent is going back to their countries, because of better prospect of development and life, take a look at the Large Hadron Collider, America does not have the money for big science project anymore, so it has to sit in the 3 rd or 4 row and watch and beg to be a part of the greatest scientific experiment mankind have ever done.
It is sad , but it is what it is.
Now we have what 17% unemployment about 30 to 40 million people, but the GDP is growing, who are we kidding? ourselves?
70% of this economy is spending, unless the other 100 million people pick up the slack of this 40 million unemployed, will this be truth, numbers can be very deceiving, and shame on the American people if they are buying this crap.
StockScouter data provided by Gradient Analytics, Inc.
Quotes supplied by Interactive Data.
MSN Money's editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. Our articles, columns, message board posts and other features should not be construed as investment advice, nor does their appearance imply an endorsement by Microsoft of any specific security or trading strategy. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.
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