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Dow jumps 204, tops 10,000

Investors buy after jobless claims hit their lowest level since January. Retailers post better-than-expected October sales. Cisco's bullishness boosts techs.

Posted by Charley Blaine on Thursday, November 5, 2009 3:09 PM

Charley Blaine

Updated: 7:45 p.m. ET

 

Stocks jumped this afternoon, and the Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) closed above 10,000 for the first time since Oct. 22.

 

The rally was prompted by better-than-expected reports on new jobless claims and productivity and decent reports from retailers on October sales. As important were bullish comments about the economy from Cisco Systems' (CSCO) CEO John Chambers.

The Dow closed up nearly 204 points, or 2.1%, to 10,006. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was up 20 points, or 1.9%, to 1,067. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was up 50 points, or 2.4%, to 2,105.

 

The point gains for the Dow and the Nasdaq were their largest since July 15. The S&P 500's gain was its largest since July 23.

 

The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX.X), which tracks the largest Nasdaq stocks, jumped 40 points, or 2.4%, to 1,721. Cisco, up 2.8% to $23.93, added 1.4 points to the Nasdaq. Apple (AAPL), up 1.7% to $194.03, added 4.5 points to the Index.

 

Futures trading suggests a flat open on Friday, but the Labor Department will report on unemployment and payroll employment before the open.

 

The jobless-claims report gave hope that U.S. unemployment is near a peak. But it is possible that the unemployment rate will hit 10% for the first time since the early 1980s. The consensus estimate is 9.9%, up from 9.8% in September.

 

The Labor Department this morning said initial jobless claims fell 20,000 to 512,000 last week -- the lowest level since January -- and a report that showed U.S. productivity rose at the fastest pace in six years in the third quarter.  

 

After today's close, coffee shop giant Starbucks (SBUX) added to the cheer by beating Street estimates for fiscal-fourth-quarter earnings and guiding higher for earnings in fiscal 2010. Starbucks

 

Shares, which rose 2.6% to $19.70 in regular trading, added an additional 3.7% to $20.43 after hours. A close above $20 on Friday would the first for Starbucks shares since Oct. 26.

 

With today's close, Starbucks is up 108.3%, 14th best among Nasdaq-100 stocks.

 

Crude oil settled down 78 cents to $79.62 a barrel. Gold closed at $1,089.30 an ounce after hitting a record high of $1,097.72 on Wednesday.

 

All 30 Dow stocks were higher, led by American Express (AXP), up 5% to $37.74, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), up 3.9% to $43.87. In addition, 463 S&P 500 stocks were higher, along with 95 Nasdaq-100 stocks, led by Wynn Resorts (WYNN), up 8.3% to $59.84.

 

Both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England kept their key lending rates on hold this morning. The Federal Reserve did the same on Wednesday.

 

Continuing claims drop

Initial jobless claims have been above 500,000 for 51 weeks in a row, but claims have declined for the past nine weeks. Economists had expected initial claims to have fallen to 520,000 from 532,000, revised from 530,000, in the previous week.

 

Continuing claims fell by 68,000 to a seasonally adjusted 5.75 million in the week ending Oct. 24, the lowest since March. On Wednesday, the U.S. Senate approved a bill to extend jobless benefits for thousands of unemployed workers.

 

"This report suggests that the peak for the unemployment rate may be closer than commonly thought," John Lonski, chief economist at Moody's Investors Service, told CNNMoney.com.

 

Productivity jumps as unit labor costs fall

U.S. companies managed to squeeze more output from their employees, according to the Labor Department's productivity report. Productivity surged at a 9.5% annual rate in the third quarter.

 

The productivity report also showed that unit labor costs, a key measure of inflation, dropped at a 5.2% annual rate in the quarter.


Productivity is output divided by hours worked. Output rose 4% annualized, while hours worked plunged 5%. Real hourly compensation increased at a 0.2% annual rate.

 

The productivity gains are good for corporate profits, MKM chief economist Michael Darda wrote in a note to clients.

 

But, he noted, the gains are not sustainable. "At some point, hours worked and payrolls will have to rise in order to meet stepped-up production schedules."

 

Energy prices -- New York close
  Thur. Wed. Month chg. YTD chg.
Crude oil  $79.62 $80.40 3.40% 78.52%
(per barrel)
Heating oil $2.0576 $2.0902 3.86% 46.38%
(per gallon)
Natural gas  $4.7820 $4.7250 -5.21% -14.94%
(per mil. BTY)
Unleaded gasoline $1.9877 $2.0127 2.29% 97.15%
(per gallon)
Retail gasoline $2.6820 $2.6840 -0.48% 65.85%
(per gallon; AAA)

 

Consumers did some shopping in October

A cool October helped retailers, as many posted better-than-expected sales at stores open at least one year.

 

Costco (COST) posted a 5% gain in sales, better than the 4.7% increase analysts had expected. TJX Companies (TJX) saw sales rise 10%, and Gap's (GPS) sales were up 4%, topping the estimate of a 1.6% increase.

 

Overall same-store sales should rise 2% in October, according to Retail Metricks, which would be the largest gain since June 2008.

 

Elizabeth Strott contributed to this report.

 

Short hits from the markets -- New York close
  Tues. Mon. Month chg. YTD chg.
Treasury yields  
13-week Treasury bill 0.035% 0.045% -22.22% -69.57%
5-year Treasury note  2.343% 2.378% 0.90% 51.06%
10-year Treasury note 3.533% 3.546% 4.16% 57.44%
30-year Treasury bond 4.412% 4.434% 4.15% 63.95%
Currencies    
U.S. Dollar Index 75.865 75.825 -0.80% -7.65%
British pound $1.6595 $1.6565 0.86% 12.63%
(in U.S. $)
U.S. $ in pounds £0.6026 £0.6037 -0.86% -11.21%
Euro in dollars $1.4883 $1.4881 1.09% 6.24%
(in U.S. $)
U.S. $ in euros € 0.6719 € 0.6720 -1.07% -5.87%
U.S. $ in yen  90.73 90.83 0.71% 0.09%
Canada dollar $0.939 $0.942 1.77% 14.76%
(in U.S. $)
U.S. dollar  $1.066 $1.062 -1.74% -12.86%
(in Canadian $)
Commodities        
Gold $1,089.30 $1,087.30 4.70% 23.18%
(per troy ounce)
Copper $2.9570 $2.9930 0.05% 109.72%
(per pound)
Silver $17.4100 $17.4050 7.11% 54.09%
(per troy ounce)
Corn $3.7650 $3.8400 2.87% -7.49%
(per bushel)
Crude oil  $79.62 $80.40 3.40% 78.52%
(per barrel)  
Join the discussion!
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1 - 15 of 53
Friday, November 06, 2009 8:51:43 AM
Just another sucker rally..nothing new..simple fact is that the market is the only place for the big dealers to make money right now..and they realize that there is an endless supply of suckers to feed off of. Hell, I made money on these sucker rallys since last year, but I know that the economy is in the tank and sooner or later it's gonna crash big time. Just make sure you have a chair when the music stops...as for the people who author these articles...they are clueless hacks who simply report anything given to them to fill web pages that reflects the agenda of whoever they derive a paycheck from. They are without an original thought.
Friday, November 06, 2009 1:24:23 AM
Your all idiots im an un-educated 20 year old making 132,000 a year with no fluctuation i work 105 hours a week. your little opinion does not matter turn that frown upside down. Move on because all this thought is useless because its all going to what it needs to.
Friday, November 06, 2009 1:09:53 AM
So again the Fed drops the interest rates to near zero, the *ssholes of the uni...oops, I mean masters of the universe again take the money to speculate on the market and now because the DOW is up we are all suppose to believe that good times are around the corner.  Well time will tell.  The only sure thing that I know is that every time Glenn Beck cries the stock market goes up.  Thank you Glenn, you've helped me get out of the hole.
Friday, November 06, 2009 1:04:05 AM

Lady D1951,

We could have cited those very same points that you have cited before the election even occurred

Friday, November 06, 2009 12:52:44 AM
to MUSKY, 
 at last somebody with a functioning brain.

Thursday, November 05, 2009 11:52:01 PM

universal healthcare is the answer........

we as a nation spend 17% of GDP on healthcare while other developed countries spend 8% GDP and they much better services with better results.

to all u faux news, ditto heads and becksters out there...move to texas and form your own nation. then you can shoot each other, declare war on the rest of the world, pray to your god (the only real god and the right god), string up the blacks, lynch the gays, stone the nonchristians, take the vote from the women, build a fence to keep out any mexicans and live happily ever after together in a world that never changes.

lol

Thursday, November 05, 2009 10:37:02 PM

SKIPPY2, you said...

 

"I like the bears, if it weren't for them there would would be no money on the sidelines to finally get real and buy stocks.  In the meantime, while us bulls are awaiting the bears' short squeeze and changing of sentiment, we will enjoy a great rally.  This is for real, sure their will be corrections here and there, that safely leaks the air out of the bubble.

Techs are up due to an inevitable renewing of the product cycle that is predicted in early '10.  Oil is up due to the fact that a true alternative is still decades away.  Financials, though looking much better, will join the party after all the dead weight is shaken out of the sector.

Also health care will do well, in spite of the health care debate, (pick and choose carefully) due to the aging population.

The missing link is the jobless number.  When that turns around, I have no sympathy for those not bullish on stocks.

Go ahead, buy yourself your money-market shares and your CDs.  Can you spell negative returns?" 

 

If I were Gay or you were a chic, I would marry you.  Nicely done! 

 

In the mutha @#!^#&$# FACE BEARS!

Thursday, November 05, 2009 10:02:45 PM
We are increasing our deficit by billions to fund 2 wars, and any increase for health care would be peanuts to compared to that.
Thursday, November 05, 2009 9:19:17 PM
Wow!  Everything is just peachy!!!  Happy Days are here again!!
Thursday, November 05, 2009 9:10:36 PM

I like the bears, if it weren't for them there would would be no money on the sidelines to finally get real and buy stocks.  In the meantime, while us bulls are awaiting the bears' short squeeze and changing of sentiment, we will enjoy a great rally.  This is for real, sure their will be corrections here and there, that safely leaks the air out of the bubble.

Techs are up due to an inevitable renewing of the product cycle that is predicted in early '10.  Oil is up due to the fact that a true alternative is still decades away.  Financials, though looking much better, will join the party after all the dead weight is shaken out of the sector.

Also health care will do well, in spite of the health care debate, (pick and choose carefully) due to the aging population.

The missing link is the jobless number.  When that turns around, I have no sympathy for those not bullish on stocks.

Go ahead, buy yourself your money-market shares and your CDs.  Can you spell negative returns? 

Thursday, November 05, 2009 8:48:45 PM

It appears that more people are losing their sanity every day. Happy days are here again? I don't think so. Check this out:

One recent article in U.S. News and World Report related to recouping 401k losses, asked the question “How long will it take to get back?”. The article made it sound so easy to accomplish the rebuild but there is a problem. The problem is with the word "IF". If the market grows at a specific rate . . . If neither spouse loses their job or has to take a cut in either pay or hours . . . If neither spouse gets sick or has an accident . . . If inflation does not strike . . . If taxes don't increase . . . If loan or credit card rates don't climb . . . etc. Another recent headline from the Associated Press read: "Obama: Global economy ‘back from the brink". We have not even hit the worst of it yet and he is claiming that we have come back from the brink. This is not a perfect world folks and we know that some specific negatives are going to hit. Here are some examples:

 (1) At least one more round of foreclosures because the President and Congress have done nothing to promote legislation to help create jobs in America, Keep jobs in America, or bring jobs back to America and the President could have promoted and requested such legislation from Congress.

(2) Failed mortgages on commercial properties will be the number two item to hit us and it will hit us hard.

(3) More bank failures are on the way and again . . . a very hard hit.

(4) Insolvency of the FDIC, which has already started. The FDIC is currently active in trying to borrow the taxpayer dollars the government used to bail the banks out, back from the banks. Nice isn't it when they borrow our money and then charge us a much higher rate of interest to loan it back to us?

(5) Continued rising numbers of unemployed American Taxpayers - more jobs are being lost every day than are being created and with the restrictive laws we have in place, it isn't likely to change soon.

(6) Inflation - it is not possible to hold off forever the inflation that we are bound to experience from the insane level of spending that this administration has been doing. Eventually, the piper must be paid. Some economists are predicting hyperinflation. Even if we do not experience hyperinflation, we will almost certainly experience inflation that will surpass even the worst seen during the Carter years. The question is when? . . . not if?

 

This is actually frightening! Our President simply has no clue what so ever . . . . or does he?

 

So, the issue really is “Is the President really that out-of-touch or is this just another smokescreen from the Whitehouse propaganda machine”? There is an old saying . . . “If ifs and buts were candy and nuts, what a wonderful Christmas this would be!” That saying could be applied to the economy right now. My suggestion is to pull in whatever you can convert to ready cash and sit on it in a guaranteed interest rate account of some type, where it has some protection. I believe that the market will drop below 7,000 long before it ever hits 14,000. There are just too many negative happenings waiting in the wings.

 

Is this enough analysis for you pipel2667? Now how about posting some facts to support your stance that we are all wrong. Anyone can throw stones - try thinking for yourself rather than just repeating that unfounded stone-throwing - - - no, better yet, open your eyes and look at the real world, the people in it, and what they are going through. Lies don't put food in your belly or a roof over your head. Way too many American Taxpayers have learned that fact the hard way. Just wait until April 15th. when President Pelosi and her Obama puppet find out how far wrong they have been.

Thursday, November 05, 2009 8:39:06 PM

you guys sound worse than the taliban.

so such non-sense and very little analisis.

Thursday, November 05, 2009 8:26:16 PM
Say Charlie - what is the total unemployment rate now? You sound like it actually dropped. Did it? I don't think so . . . we are still losing more jobs every month than are being created. The fact that new jobless claims have dropped does not mean that fewer people are out of work and you know it! Why try to make it sound like we're out of the woods and everyone will be doing just fine any day now?
#14
Thursday, November 05, 2009 8:12:23 PM
You know...we had it good for so many years....blissful. I guess I kind of feel like we deserve this...it's our time to suffer a little bit. If you don't suffer you won't appreciate the "good times". Anyway, what I'm saying is I enjoy the pain because I'm confident in my plan...silver stacking for the 2nd depression.
Thursday, November 05, 2009 7:54:02 PM

the reason government is so dumb is they represent the people.if americans were so smart the would elect smart

representatives .

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