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Late selling pushes Dow down 30

Financial stocks pull the market lower. The Fed sees more signs of recovery -- but it will be slow in coming.

Posted by Charley Blaine on Wednesday, September 2, 2009 3:16 PM

Charley Blaine

Updated: 6:58 p.m. ET

 

Stocks drifted lower today, and perhaps that was a good thing after Tuesday's big sell-off.

 

What bulls didn't want to see was a market that continued to slump badly. (Bears would probably disagree.)

 

And the major indexes held their own as investors wait for Friday's big jobs and unemployment report.

 

Minutes from the August Federal Reserve meeting portrayed a central bank that is seeing signs of a slow recovery.

The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) were down 30 points to 9,281 after slumping 186 points on Tuesday.

 

The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) slipped 2 points to 1,967, and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was off 3 points at 995.

 

Investors on Thursday will pay close attention to the weekly report on jobless claims and the monthly sales reports that many of the nation's largest retailers will offer.

 

But volume is likely to be light as traders sneak away for the long Labor Day weekend. U.S. financial markets will be closed on Monday.

 

Futures trading suggests the market will open down slightly. An issue: weaker-than-expected earnings from homebuilder Hovnanian (HOV).

 

Hovnanian shares were down 7.4% to $4.65 in regular trading and fell an additional 8% after hours to $4.25.

 

The Dow and S&P 500 suffered their fourth straight declines. The Nasdaq was down for the third day in a row.

 

The market was pulled lower in the last half-hour of trading today by selling in financial stocks. This bears watching because financials were the weak link in Tuesday's sell-off.

 

Goldman Sachs (GS) was off 1.1% to $158.54. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) was off 1.9% to $40.86. American International Group (AIG), which had been up nearly 11% earlier in the day, closed with a 5.4% gain to $37.95. The stock had fallen 20.6% on Tuesday.

 

The lower finish came as some tech stocks sported decent gains, including Cisco Systems (CSCO), Apple (AAPL) and Dell (DELL).

 

The Fed minutes show that the members of its rate-making body, the Federal Open Market Committee, are increasingly confident that their forecast of a modest recovery in the second half of the year will hold. In fact, the committee members "saw smaller downside risks" to their forecasts.

 

"Consumer spending appeared to be in the process of leveling out, and activity in a number of local housing markets had stabilized or even increased somewhat."

Plus, companies were bringing inventories into better alignment with their reduced sales, the minutes show, and production was stabilizing in many sectors -- albeit at low levels -- and beginning to rise in some.

 

But interest rates are likely to remain low. One reason: slow job growth.

 

"Long-term unemployment and permanent separations continued to rise," the minutes note. That raises a new challenge for the recovery: skill loss and a need for labor reallocation. That -- and the likelihood in business caution in new hiring -- could limit a jobs recovery as the economy begins to expand.

 

The Fed minutes came out after a report on private-sector employment was worse than economists had expected. The report from payroll processor Automated Data Processing showed a loss of 298,000 private-sector jobs in August, worse than the 246,000 analysts expected.

 

While the indexes were little changed, the tone of the market was negative.

 

Energy prices -- New York close
  Wed. Tues. Month chg. YTD chg.
Crude oil  $68.05 $68.05 -2.73% 52.58%
(per barrel)
Heating oil $1.7505 $1.7589 -1.61% 24.53%
(per gallon)
Natural gas  $2.7150 $2.8210 -8.80% -51.71%
(per mil. BTY)
Unleaded gasoline $1.8086 $1.7822 -8.89% 79.39%
(per gallon)
Retail gasoline $2.6020 $2.6070 -0.31% 60.91%
(per gallon; AAA)

 

Only eight of of the 30 Dow stocks were higher, along with 158 S&P 500 stocks, but 52 stocks in the Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX.X), which tracks the biggest Nasdaq stocks, were higher. The index was off 2 points to 1,594.

 

Coca-Cola (KO) was the Dow leader, up 2.6% to $49.80. JPMorgan Chase was the laggard, just behind pharmaceutical giant Merck (MRK), down 1.9% to $30.81.

 

Rival Pfizer (PFE), which pleaded guilty to illegal marketing of its drug Bextra and will pay $2.3 billion in fines to settle related charges, was down 0.6% to $16.28.

 

Crude oil closed unchanged from Tuesday at $68.05 a barrel in New York. Energy shares were down slightly.

 

Shares of oil giant BP (BP) were up 4.1% to $52.53 in New York after announcing a huge oil find in the Gulf of Mexico southeast of Houston.

 

Gold, however, was up $22 an ounce to $978.50 in New York.

 

Orders for durable goods increased 5.1% in July, revised up from 4.9% estimated last week, but orders for nondurable goods fell 1.9%, which was the biggest decline since last December.

 

Nondefense capital-goods orders excluding aircraft, which are often called "core" orders, fell 0.3% in July after rising 3.8% in June.

 

Elizabeth Strott contributed to this report.

 

Short hits from the markets -- New York close
  Wed. Tues. Month chg. YTD chg.
Treasury yields  
13-week Treasury bill 0.130% 0.130% 0.00% 13.04%
5-year Treasury note  2.260% 2.328% -5.44% 45.71%
10-year Treasury note 3.295% 3.375% -3.12% 46.84%
30-year Treasury bond 4.104% 4.198% -1.84% 52.51%
Currencies    
U.S. Dollar Index 78.435 78.805 0.27% -4.52%
British pound $1.6281 $1.6166 -0.11% 10.50%
(in U.S. $)
U.S. $ in pounds £0.6142 £0.6186 0.11% -9.50%
Euro in dollars $1.4273 $1.4223 -0.53% 1.88%
(in U.S. $)
U.S. $ in euros € 0.7006 € 0.7031 0.53% -1.85%
U.S. $ in yen  92.12 92.92 -1.05% 1.62%
Canada dollar $0.906 $0.907 -0.94% 10.72%
(in U.S. $)
U.S. dollar  $1.105 $1.103 0.95% -9.68%
(in Canadian $)
Commodities        
Gold $978.50 $956.50 2.62% 10.65%
(per troy ounce)
Copper $2.8260 $2.8185 -0.02% 100.43%
(per pound)
Silver $15.3650 $15.0600 2.96% 33.33%
(per troy ounce)
Corn $3.1325 $3.1225 -3.98% -23.03%
(per bushel)
Crude oil  $68.05 $68.05 -2.73% 52.58%
(per barrel)  
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Thursday, September 03, 2009 6:09:12 AM

Skip, Randy is right on this one. Without all the government help there would be only darkness. Unfortunately these programs are moving planned purchases (like automobiles sold during "cash for clunkers") forward. This leaves future sales even further in doubt. Also if you look at the revenue numbers for companies like Caterpillar (revenue at CAT is probably the best leading indicator there is) you'll see that

recovery is a long way off. 

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Wednesday, September 02, 2009 9:56:29 PM
Are we looking at the same economy.Profits were up or losses were down due to huge cost cutting by companies.I.E elimination of jobs layoffs reduced work weeks and paycuts.If 70% of this economy is based upon consumer spending and millions of consumers are out of work how do they spend.Plus home sales and car sales have been propped up by government rebate programs.Not to mention energy efficient home upgrades.Cash for clunkers is gone the housing market is stabilizing or growing because there is more urgency to buy a home before the $8000 tax credit ends dec.1.Banks and homesellers are trying to take advantage of it before it ends.Watch how much growth we see in home sales and pending offers after dec.1 this economy is not anywhere near a recovery until it can sustain itself without all of the government intervention.That doesn't seem antwhere close with unemployment rising wages dropping and consumer spending slowed due to fear and a turn away from credit.
Wednesday, September 02, 2009 9:36:18 PM
My, are you looking at the same economy/market that I am?  Everywhere I look are little trickles of light.  The worst is over.  The securities markets have always been a leading indicator.  A hesitation here means that you missed the market.  And while we are talking market; why not eliminate those silly practices like short selling, derivative contracts, basket trading and other slick pranks that are more gamble than invest.  Watch for the sunshine, it's coming.Open-mouthed
Wednesday, September 02, 2009 6:35:31 PM

The ADP report does not include all jobs. The government number comes out on Friday. It's becoming difficult to believe the government number. The labor department hasn't been exactly forthright with their reports. The SGS report puts unemployment at 17%

Wednesday, September 02, 2009 5:04:47 PM
all you stock people should be getting ready for the big dump to happen when the next "BONUS" date nears............................................................................... 
Wednesday, September 02, 2009 4:56:08 PM
Just wait until the next round of sub-prime forclosures hits with this increased jobless rate and the lack of consumer spending.  These folks are going to have to finally report the actual state of the economy not just try to prop up the market.  You know darn good and well that these financial reporters have invested heavily in the market and are trying to spin the news to keep from losing their shirts.  The problem for them is that the middle class already sees through this scam.
Wednesday, September 02, 2009 4:25:22 PM

ADP reported that 298,000 jobs evaporated. for last month.

 

I am confused we had like 550,000 initial jobless claims each week last month for 4.33 weeks this means we lost 1,000,000 jobs. If we did only lose instead 298,000 jobs that means we created 700,000 jobs and that should have made the news somewhere.

 

I do not believe any numbers the government puts out as far as I can tell we have lost 20,000,000 jobs so far and the unemployment is getting close to 25 percent. Pretty much panic time for the government.

Wednesday, September 02, 2009 4:19:49 PM

ditto....no jobs,  no recovery...this market will go down...profit taking will lower the market 1500 points at least.  fasten your seatbelts..Sad

Wednesday, September 02, 2009 3:59:16 PM
ADP reported that 298,000 jobs evaporated. A number well above the 246,000 expected. Had there been 246,000 jobs lost, Charley would be spouting off about how great the news was. Even so that represents pay role loss of  nearly $10,000,000,000. This is why a jobless recovery is not possible. It works like this, no jobs=no consumers=no revenue=no profit=no recovery.
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