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Is the iPod a goner?
Hidden in the giddiness of Apple's earnings is the fact that iPod sales have been falling.
Time to start mourning the death of the iPod.
Yes, the iPod. Maybe it's just creative destructionism at work, but it looks like Apple's (AAPL) iPod music player is now a declining product line.
And while Apple was crowing -- probably rightly -- about its latest quarter, it's worth looking at what's going on with the company's product mix.
So, here's the story:
Apple said it earned $1.35 a share in its fiscal third quarter, up 13.5% from $1.19 a share a year ago. Revenue was $8.34 billion, up 11.7% from a year ago.
Wall Street had estimated earnings of $1.17 a share and revenue of $8.2 billion.
The stock, down 0.5% to $151.51 in regular trading, jumped 4.5% after hours to $158.25.
If the price holds on Wednesday, the shares would end the day up 85% on the year.
Right now, Apple is generating more revenue from its iPhones than it does from the iPod. iPhone sales hit $1.69 billion in the fiscal-third quarter, up 303% from a year ago. Apple literally can't get the devices made fast enough.
IPod sales were down 11.1% to $1.49 billion. Unit sales were down 7% year over year and 7% from the fiscal second quarter.
And the trend will continue. Peter Oppenheimer, Apple's chief financial officer, said the company expects sales of the traditional iPod to decline as features are cannibalized by the iPhone and the skinny iPod touch.
That's not the only Apple product experiencing sales declines. Sales of the desktop versions of the Macintosh computer are falling as customers switch to laptop versions of the Mac.
Unit sales of desktops fell 10% in the third quarter; revenue fell 17.8%. Part of the problem may be that desktops aren't cool.
Another issue may be that publishing companies, who use Macs to produce magazines, newspapers and the like, are simply not buying because their business is lousy.
Now, laptop sales were up 12.9% to 1.75 million units, but revenue for the laptops was actually down 1.7%. But Apple's having problems meeting demand on these products as well.
So, what does all this tell us about Apple? It remains a most amazing manufacturer and marketer of interesting products.
And not just the iPhone. Its iTunes business generated $958 million in sales in the quarter, up 17% from a year ago.
It's an even better manufacturer of buzz. Half the buyers of its computers at its retail stores had never owned a Mac before. The iPhone seems to be drawing in customers.
But if Apple didn't have the iPhone and its iTunes business, investors would be complaining about stagnant sales.
Sales of Macs and iPods were down 8.8% year over year.
For the fourth quarter, Apple expects revenue of $8.7 billion to $8.9 billion and earnings of $1.18 to $1.23 a share. Wall Street is expecting $1.30 a share and revenue of $9.1 billion.
Don't pay attention to Apple's guidance. As noted on Monday, the company always underestimates. Their guidance for the third quarter was revenue of $7.7 billion to $7.9 billion, 8% below what was actually reported.
As of today, Apple is the 22nd-best performer among stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) and and 10th among stocks in the Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX.X).
It's the 18th-most-valuable company in the world. Its $135 billion market capitalization is greater than General Electric (GE) and Chevron (CVX) and nearly as big as JPMorgan Chase (JPM).
iPod will retain market share simply because there's no other real front-runners anymore. Zune? (lol) The only reason why sales are declining is market saturation, it doesn't mean the Ipod is a goner, it just means less people need an mp3 player.
I find itunes to be about the biggest crock in the industry, my wife has to keep paying to update her software just to continue itunes functionality with her iPod, when she couldn't care less about the "upgrades" they provide.
That being said it's a really slick piece of hardware, the iPod touch 2g is amazing in my opinion.
I feel bad for those foolish enough to buy an iPod. I had one of the fairly early generations and had nothing but problems. Within the first year, I had to send the device back to Apple twice to have the battery replaced. Unfortunately, during one of those episodes, my PC crashed. It was a loaner PC from work, so I had no backups, etc. Needless to say, I lost iTunes and the 2,000+ songs that I had loaded from CD....CDs that I had owned, borrowed, etc.
Anyone that has used iTunes extensively knows where this is going. I rebuilt the PC and re-installed iTunes. Naturally, since I had lost everything, my new library was blank. As soon as I plugged in the iPod and let it sync, it overwrote everyting on the iPod and replaced it with my new, blank library.
Instead of borrowing a whole host of music and reloading the 2000+ songs, I got rid of the iPod and got a Samsung. After 3 years, I have not had a single issue with the Samsung.
In my experience, the iPod is the most overrated piece of consumer electronics I've ever come across and I could have been shed of mine soon enough.
StockScouter data provided by Gradient Analytics, Inc.
Quotes supplied by Interactive Data.
MSN Money's editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. Our articles, columns, message board posts and other features should not be construed as investment advice, nor does their appearance imply an endorsement by Microsoft of any specific security or trading strategy. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.
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