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Consumer spending rises

Personal incomes increase, and sentiment picks up. Palm shares surge on a narrower loss. KB Home also posts narrower loss.

Posted by Elizabeth Strott on Friday, June 26, 2009 8:15 AM

Elizabeth Strott

Updated at 1:15 p.m. ET

 

Investors dismissed data supporting the idea that the economy is starting to recover and pulled back today after Thursday's strong stock rally.

 

Stocks were moving lower this afternoon, despite a report from the Commerce Department that showed a 0.3% gain in consumer spending last month. It was the first gain in three months. And a report on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan and Reuters that showed an improved reading of 70.8 in June, up from 68.7 in May, didn't help, either.  

 

At 1:15 p.m. ET. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJIA) was down 48 points to 8,424 after gaining 173 points Thursday. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was up 2 points to 1,832, and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was lower by 4 points at 917.

 

Crude oil slipped $1.00 to $69.23 a barrel this afternoon.  

 

Consumer spending and sentiment both rise

The rise in consumer spending, which makes up about 70% of the economy, in May follows an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in April. Analysts had been looking for a 0.3% rise last month. After adjusting for inflation, spending was up 0.2%, the biggest gain since January.

 

 

"Consumers are starting to return to malls to spend a little more as they think we're through the worst," Chris Rupkey, the chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, told Bloomberg News. "The recession is ending." But Rupkey was cautious: "Purchases are likely to be modest until the job losses ease and companies start hiring."

 

U.S. personal incomes jumped 1.4% in May, the Commerce Department also reported this morning, thanks to tax cuts and one-time economic stimulus checks that went to Social Security beneficiaries. Excluding those payments, disposable incomes rose 0.2% last month.

 

Real disposable incomes, which are after taxes and are adjusted for inflation, rose 1.6% in May. The boost to incomes helped push the savings rate up to 6.9%, the highest level in 15 years. It had been as low as 0% in April 2008.

 

 

June's rise in consumer sentiment was the fifth straight monthly increase, according to the University of Michigan/Reuters survey. Economists expected the final June reading to come in at 69. The index hit a 28-year low of 55.3 in November but has averaged 88.2 over the last decade.

 

"Consumers have become convinced that the steepest economic declines are now over, but very few consumers anticipate a quick end to the recession," said Richard Curtin, director of the survey, in a statement. "The majority of consumers reported that their financial situation had recently worsened, with income declines reported three times as frequently as income gains."

 

KB Home says new orders rise

Homebuilder KB Home (KBH) posted a second-quarter loss that was bigger than Wall Street expected this morning, but there was a silver lining to the report: The company said the weakness in the housing sector may be moderating.

 

KB Home also said new-home orders surged 59% in its most recent quarter, and only 20% of potential buyers backed out of contracts, fewer than last year's 27% cancellation rate.

 

Shares of KB Home fell $1.24, or 8.4%, to $13.53 this afternoon.

 

Palm shares jump 

Palm (PALM) shares jumped $2.19, or 15.6%, to $16.21 this afternoon after the company posted a narrower-than-expected loss late Thursday. The company's results did not include sales of its new device, the Pre, which it launched earlier this month in an effort to compete with Apple's (AAPL) iPod and Research In Motion's (RIMM) BlackBerry.

 

At least one expert was optimistic about the Pre.

 

"Palm put up a better quarter than expected as it tightened its belt ahead of the launch of the Pre and saw solid shipments of legacy products," Matthew Sheerin, an analyst at Thomas Weisel Partners, told MarketWatch. "From our initial checks as well as proprietary use/purchase of the Pre, we believe the launch has gone relatively well to date."

 

UBS lowers guidance

Swiss banking giant UBS (UBS) late Thursday said it raised about $3.5 billion in capital by selling 293.3 million shares. The sale was an effort to help improve confidence in the bank after posting losses amid the financial crisis.  

 

"This is certainly positive," Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority spokesman Tobias Lux told The Associated Press. It helps improve UBS's ability to absorb any shocks, he said.

 

UBS also said it expects a second-quarter loss as a result of reorganization costs.

 

Shares of UBS fell 73 cents, or 5.6%, to $12.24 this afternoon.

Join the discussion!
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1 - 14 of 14
Friday, June 26, 2009 2:05:47 PM
boy all the comments that i ever read are from a bunch of loooosers. it will take time to turn the ship around, (or maybe you can get elected and do it over night) I've lived through good times and bad times, and made it through them all, and think that i will get through this one, (hopefully with a shirt on my back).  but for all you looosers, better hope the president fixes health care, then you can go to the doctor, as they can prescribe meds to help your attitude out.
Friday, June 26, 2009 12:42:03 PM

It's OK, just drink the Kool-Aid...

Friday, June 26, 2009 11:32:18 AM

Wow things got better all of a sudden where was I . Oh ya counting my

13.00 dollars more a payday after taking a 20.00 a payday pay cut at work . Did I mention the tax increases for Wisconsin whoa what a recovery things are now back to normal and all is well . I voted for the guy that lost at least he was straight about taxing health bene's .

Friday, June 26, 2009 11:16:09 AM
Hey what about personal savings jumped up to 6.9% from 5.6% since april.  We have a bunch of morons as economists  They failed to mention this tidbit.  Spending rose by .3% Whoa!!  How is it no one is asking the hard questions?  How is it our president does not answer the hard questions.  The reason is he won't have a teleprompter in front of him.  My minor was economics in college and I know more than these buffoons.  Where are the fundamentals?  There are none.  They just pull it out like a rabbit the magician does and oh's and aww's come out.  Smoke and mirror tricks only last so long.  God help us all who have done the right thing.  There is a financial Tsunami coming.  Food for thought; how come the Chinese won't lend us any more money.  Why is it,  the Chinese are trying to buy up al the raw commodities sector.  eg. Rio Tinto with American dollars.  Not to mention the fact they even sweetened the deal.  Like I said it is coming and only a few are prepared..  May God have mercy on our souls!!
Friday, June 26, 2009 11:07:13 AM
There are thousands of ways to crunch the numbers and never meet reality....
Friday, June 26, 2009 11:03:18 AM

I'm curious...Anyone here have their Personal incomes

increase? My income if I am lucky may increase 25 cents to 50

cents a year, this year I got nothing.

 

And certainly when I got the whole 25 cents to 50 cents it

didn't send me into a spending spree!

 

I think the people feeding the info spools all make too much

money and have no contact or to little contact with the real world...In other

words, they have their bubbles and have views that are from

outside the realm.

Friday, June 26, 2009 11:02:38 AM
a DB reader you may want to exam your contract their may be some surprises....the terms may have hideaways....
Friday, June 26, 2009 10:49:52 AM

Palatki - ****

Friday, June 26, 2009 10:30:21 AM

This bull**** goes on to say that adjusted for inflation, the rise was 0.2%. Okay; how much do consumers spend, anyway? Let’s say the average wage is 36K. 70% of that is $25K (take-home pay). Americans are saving 3.6%, now (let’s call it 3.6% of their take-home), leaving 24,300. Now, according to a few sources on the net, you have to spend 82.75% of your take-home on rent, food, gas, utilities, insurance, crap like that, stuff that you HAVE to pay on every month, but let’s say it’s only 80%, leaving $4900, which includes EVERYTHING else like clothes, alcohol, tobacco, restaurants, movies, every single conceivable thing one would spend their discretionary income on. That’s the money they’re talking about, and I’ll tell you I think that $4900 discretionary spending is WAY inflated, but let’s use it anyway. $4900 divided by 12 is about $400. Any guy who has $400 a month to blow on whatever he wants is doing pretty damned good, but let’s go with that consumer-paradise figure. Multiply that by .02 (the fantasamagorical figure cited in the above bull***, and you get the stupendous figure of  $8.13, and THAT is how much consumer spending went up in May, so as you can plainly see, the f-ing recession REALLY must be over, and consumers are flockingto to their local malls like locusts to a lettuce field. And St. Obama has truly saved us. What insanity!  

Friday, June 26, 2009 10:22:42 AM

Hey Elizabeth Strott  things are not always as they appear.

 

If the same groups of people are generating the numbers everywhere else as the same groups of people that I see spending at the Wal-Mart in my area, and my guess is that it is the same groups then my guess is that there is a lot of Mexican drug money being laundered and really has little to do with the spending from the legal United States Citizens. 

 

Seems like 40% or more of the people that shop at the Wal-Mart in Largo, Florida are not speaking English. Maybe we should just get rid of immigration all together, seems like they are getting paid for nothing.

Then we may get real numbers that reflect our economy?

Friday, June 26, 2009 10:13:52 AM
Hmmm!!!   As usual, good news=equities dump. 
Friday, June 26, 2009 10:11:51 AM
I think the writer has a wishful thinking problem. The increase in spending is equal to the increase in gasoline prices. That is not due to optimism or consumer confidence it is forced spending and in many cases it is increasing debt. The media has lost its collective mind!
Friday, June 26, 2009 9:59:04 AM
People are so stupid, people are spending more so lets sell all our stocks. This is supposed to be what we are looking for!
Friday, June 26, 2009 9:58:01 AM

Also it was mother's day.

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