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"This is a disaster," said Kathleen Day, a spokeswoman for the Center for Responsible Lending, a consumer-advocacy group whose research was used in the Pew study. "People don't realize how bad it's going to get. The effects are more far-reaching than they suspect."
I'm guessing the fallout could be even worse than these numbers indicate. The predicted foreclosure rates are based primarily on the homeowners who took out subprime loans in 2005 and 2006. If the economy worsens and more people lose their jobs, we'll see even more foreclosures. Even those who are still employed may simply walk away from homes that are "underwater," or worth less than their mortgages.
5 things you and your neighbors can do
I refuse to believe we have to sit by idly and let all this happen. There are things any of us can do -- as well as one thing only our lawmakers can do:Urge your neighbors to get help. I usually don't recommend butting into other people's finances. But if you suspect a neighbor is having trouble, you may be doing a kindness by pointing out available help.
One source: The Homeowner Crisis Resource Center, run by the National Foundation for Credit Counseling, which can help borrowers get in touch with certified housing counselors. The toll-free number is 866-557-2227. Don't want to bring it up in person? Then print out this column and leave it anonymously on their doorstep, with this paragraph highlighted.
Enlist your homeowners or residents association. There is truly strength in numbers. A group of neighbors is more likely to get the attention of lenders, police and politicians if abandoned homes are causing problems.
"Take action quickly," Slavic Village's Anderson said. "Partner with other groups and your neighbors. It's much too big a problem to fix by yourself."
Anderson's improvement organization partnered with Cleveland's mayor, the area's council representatives and local businesses to get attention and funds. The group holds an annual cleanup day, sponsors a community garden, tends plantings that beautify vacant lots and has seen some of the abandoned houses torn down.
"We've weathered this storm and we're seeing a brighter day," Anderson said. "Someday people will be coming to Cleveland to see what we've done, rather than coming to see what was done to us."
Get nosy. Pay attention to who's moving out of, and into, the neighborhood. If a home looks abandoned or neglected, find out who owns it and pass the information on to the residents association for action.
You may need to be a bit of a detective to track down the current owner, especially if it's a lender, said real-estate columnist Elizabeth Razzi, the author of "The Fearless Home Seller: Razzi's Rules for Staying in Control of the Deal."
Most local governments have put their property-tax-assessment databases online, Razzi said, but the information may not be up to date, particularly for recent foreclosures. You may need to visit the assessor's office in person to get the information you need.
Also, some tax-assessor databases require that you have more than just the address when you're searching for a property's owner.
"If you need more than street address to look up a property record -- say, the legal lot number used just for public records -- the records on Zillow.com may yield that nugget," Razzi said,
Commit guerrilla upkeep. OK, technically, you're not supposed to be standing on someone else's lawn without permission, let alone mowing it. But some people have decided it's worth the risk to have a neighborhood that looks decent.
Steele's church, for example, dispatched 25 members to mow lawns and empty yards of trash during a "Service Sunday" in Elk Grove last fall. The cleanup crews targeted more than 30 homes that had been previously identified by a homeowners association as needing attention.
"We knocked on their doors and if somebody answered, we asked if they wanted our help," Steele said. "Most said yes. . . . If nobody was home, we went ahead and did it anyway."
Lenders hate this idea, but the Center for Responsible Lending says it could help 600,000 people keep their homes, wouldn't cost taxpayers a dime and likely would result in more money in lenders' pockets than what they'd get in foreclosure sales.
If you agree with me or want your voice to be heard, e-mail your congressional representatives now. Lenders have lobbyists who've already headed off proposals; the only way to overcome that is with sheer numbers of messages from voters.
You can find your House representative using this link and your senators here, and send something like the following:
Please help stem the tide of foreclosures by giving bankruptcy judges the ability to modify mortgage terms. Thank you.
There are other proposals afoot as well, but they're being slowed down by excessive concern that the "undeserving" will somehow be helped.
Whatever we do, we need to get over this idea that it matters anymore who deserves help and who doesn't. For every family kicked out of its home, 14 or 15 other families suffer. We should be way past caring who's worthy, if for no other reason than self-preservation.
| State | Projected rate | State | Projected rate |
|---|---|---|---|
Alabama | 1 out of 60 | Montana | 1 out of 81 |
Alaska | 1 out of 39 | Nebraska | 1 out of 64 |
Arizona | 1 out of 18 | Nevada | 1 out of 11 |
Arkansas | 1 out of 64 | New Hampshire | 1 out of 49 |
California | 1 out of 20 | New Jersey | 1 out of 37 |
Colorado | 1 out of 25 | New Mexico | 1 out of 56 |
Connecticut | 1 out of 49 | New York | 1 out of 32 |
Delaware | 1 out of 43 | North Carolina | 1 out of 44 |
District of Columbia | 1 out of 27 | North Dakota | 1 out of 165 |
Florida | 1 out of 26 | Ohio | 1 out of 37 |
Georgia | 1 out of 27 | Oklahoma | 1 out of 47 |
Hawaii | 1 out of 29 | Oregon | 1 out of 34 |
Idaho | 1 out of 39 | Pennsylvania | 1 out of 46 |
Illinois | 1 out of 38 | Rhode Island | 1 out of 31 |
Indiana | 1 out of 37 | South Carolina | 1 out of 42 |
Iowa | 1 out of 79 | South Dakota | 1 out of 116 |
Kansas | 1 out of 53 | Tennessee | 1 out of 36 |
Kentucky | 1 out of 55 | Texas | 1 out of 35 |
Louisiana | 1 out of 41 | Utah | 1 out of 25 |
Maine | 1 out of 60 | Vermont | 1 out of 86 |
Maryland | 1 out of 26 | Virginia | 1 out of 33 |
Massachusetts | 1 out of 48 | Washington | 1 out of 39 |
Michigan | 1 out of 36 | West Virginia | 1 out of 89 |
Minnesota | 1 out of 40 | Wisconsin | 1 out of 60 |
Mississippi | 1 out of 49 | Wyoming | 1 out of 64 |
Missouri | 1 out of 38 | U.S. average | 1 out of 33 |
Liz Pulliam Weston's new book, "Easy Money: How to Simplify Your Finances and Get What You Want Out of Life," is now available. Columns by Weston, the Web's most-read personal-finance writer and winner of the 2007 Clarion Award for online journalism, appear every Monday and Thursday, exclusively on MSN Money. She also answers reader questions on the Your Money message board.
Published April 24, 2008
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